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A lesson in the risk of discounting
 

23 February 2009 8:34 AM
By Lana Yoshii
VP, Product Development, STR
HotelNewsNow.com columnist

 

HENDERSONVILLE, Tennessee—During these challenging economic times, it is easy to justify discounting rates to capture as much share as possible in the marketplace. But what are the long-term ramifications of managing for short-term solutions? Here is a specific example of what could happen to a hotel when it starts discounting:

Let’s assume that a 117-room, limited-service hotel has had a 69-percent occupancy and US$95 ADR over the past 12 months. Its distributed operating expenses run US$24 per occupied room and undistributed operating expenses are US$16 per available room. (Operating expense assumptions are based on the 2008 STR HOST Study)  Based on these assumptions, this hotel sells 29,466 rooms per year, reports US$2,799,313 in room revenue and captures US$1,408,838 in gross operating profit (equates to a 49.7-percent GOP).

If this hotel decreases its ADR by US$5 in an attempt to maintain a 69-percent occupancy level, its room revenues drop to US$2,651,981 and GOP percentage lowers to 47.6 percent. For comparative purposes, if the hotel tried to maintain the original US$95 ADR and the same room revenue (US$2,651,981), and instead sell fewer rooms, GOP percentage would drop only to 49.0 percent because of the savings in reduced distributed operating expense.  

This simple example shows that more money can be brought down to the profitability line by attempting to maintain rate than by trying to maintain historical occupancy levels. 

Decreased ADR In USD
ADR $90.00
Occupancy 69%
Rooms Available (12 months) 42,705
Rooms Sold (12 months) 29,466
Room Revenue $2,651,981
   
Distributable Operating Exp/Occ Room $24
Rooms Sold  29,466
Distributable Operating Exp (12 months) $707,195
   
Undistributable Operating Exp/Avail. Room $16
Rooms Available 42,705
Undistributable  Operating Expense (12 months) $683,280
   
Room Revenue $2,651,981
 - Distributable Operating Expense ($707,195)
 - Undistributable Operating Expense ($683,280)
Gross Operating Profit (GOP) $1,261,506
GOP Percentage* 47.6%

Fewer Rooms Sold   
ADR $95.00
Rooms Available (12 months)  42,705
Room Revenue  $2,651,981
 / ADR $95.00
Rooms Sold (12 months)   27,916
Occupancy (Rooms sold / Rooms Available) 65.4%
   
Distributable Operating Exp/Occ Room $24
Rooms Sold  27,916
Distributable Operating Exp (12 months) $669,974
   
Undistributable Operating Exp/Available Room $16
Rooms Available 42,705
Undistributable Operating Expense (12 months) $683,280
   
Room Revenue $2,651,981
 - Distributable Operating Expense ($669,974)
 - Undistributable Operating Expense ($683,280)
Gross Operating Profit (GOP) $1,298,726
GOP Percentage* 49.0%
 
* GOP percentage = Gross Operating Profit / Total Revenue (In this example, we assumed the only revenue was room revenue)


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6 Comments
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22 March 2009 at 9:12 AM EST
In response to: A lesson in the risk of discounting
commented:
Yes Loose rooms not revenue!

11 March 2009 at 9:10 PM EST
In response to: A lesson in the risk of discounting
commented:
The best way is to add more value while maintaining the same rate. The math shows a good picture of finance when discounting is applied.

02 March 2009 at 12:41 PM EST
In response to: A lesson in the risk of discounting
commented:
This analysis assumes an elasticity of demand of about one which admittedly has been about the long term average for the US hotel market (as calculated by PWCoopers New York.) However, it is likely that elasticity is rising in the current crisis as price becomes more and more of an issue with both business and leisure travellers. The current economic downturn has nothing do with the aftermath of 9/11 when price was not the issue. People (especially in the US)were afraid to get on a plane. Watch what happens as the crisis continues and hoteliers will be obliged to slash prices just to hold onto their share of a shrinking market. Macy Marvel Professor Ecole hôtelière de Lausanne

24 February 2009 at 8:01 PM EST
In response to: A lesson in the risk of discounting
commented:
Thanks for the math! Once a product's price is lowered it is virtually impossible to raise the rate later. Building higher value is the only way to go.



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