This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Find out more here     

Pricing case study: Deep vs. moderate discounting (part 2)

Bookmark and Share

 

25 August 2009
By Lana Yoshii
VP, Content Management, STR
HotelNewsNow.com columnist
lana@str.com

HENDERSONVILLE, Tennessee—In a previous article, “Pricing case study: Deep vs. moderate discounting (part 1),” two competing hotels’ performances were compared to determine whose pricing strategy appeared to drive the least amount of room revenue declines in 2009. This article will focus on the profitability of those hotels during the same period.

Assumptions:

  • The hotels are located in a downtown area in a major U.S. market.
  • Each hotel has been selected in the other’s Smith Travel Research competitive set.
  • The hotels are located within walking distance of each other.
  • The hotels are branded, upper-upscale, full-service properties, each with 400 to 450 rooms.
  • Each hotel has at least 20,000 square feet of meeting space.

As a reminder from the previous article, Hotel A had higher declines in room revenue than Hotel B from July 2008 to June 2009. In June, Hotel B’s strategy of having more moderate room-rate declines appeared to have paid off with a significantly lower decline in room revenue than Hotel A.

Percent change comparisons
  Occupancy % Change1 ADR % Change1 Rm Revenue % Change1
  Hotel A Hotel B Hotel A Hotel B Hotel A Hotel B
Jul 08 -15.0% -27.2% 8.0%   6.4% -8.2% -22.5%
Aug 08 -15.6 -0.6 -1.3 -2.6 -16.7 -3.2
Sep 08 -0.5 -2.5 -3.7 3.9 -4.2 1.3
Oct 08   -9.2 -5.4 -7.8 -8.3 -16.3 -13.2
Nov 08 -17.0 -16.5 -8.8 -3.1 -24.2 -19.0
Dec 08 -2.0 12.2 -7.2 -0.9 -9.1  11.2
Jan 09 -8.2 4.1 -14.4 -6.3 -21.4 -2.5
Feb 09 -21.0 -6.7 -8.9 -7.7 -28.0 -13.9
Mar 09 -12.2 7.2 -25.6 -11.4 -34.7 -5.0
Apr 09 -18.2 -12.9 -20.5 -19.9 -35.0 -30.2
May 09 -12.7 -8.1 -18.0 -17.2 -28.4 -23.9
Jun 09 7.7 -4.2 -21.7 -3.8 -15.7 -7.9
1 Percent change versus prior year.
Source: STR

Based on June year-to-date activity, Hotel B has had a lower percent decline in room revenue (14.6 percent) versus Hotel A (27.7 percent). So what does that mean for profitability for the two hotels?

Using the 2008 HOST (STR Hotel Operating Statistics Study) data, we extrapolated the two hotels’ likely operating revenues and expenses. We assumed in 2009:

  • Operating revenues were generated at the same per occupied room levels as in 2008.
  • Operating expenses were at the same cost per occupied room as in 2008.
  • Undistributed expenses remained the same per available room costs as in 2008.
  • It’s likely both hotels reduced costs at their properties in 2009 because of current market conditions. However, for the sake of this case study, it’s assumed both hotels reduced costs at the same type of ratio as their 2008 expenses.

Hotel A had higher room revenues and other operating revenues (e.g., food and beverage revenue) than Hotel B as of June 2009 year to date. However, their distributed department expenses (e.g., rooms expense, food-and-beverage expense) and undistributed expenses (e.g., administrative and general, marketing expense, utilities) were much higher than Hotel B’s. As a result, Hotel B was able to capture more gross operating profit (4 percent). Hotel B’s gross operating profit percentage was 36 percent versus Hotel A’s percentage of 30 percent.

 

Variance 

% Variance

Hotel with highest revenue/expense

Room revenue $221,000 3% Hotel A
Other operating revenue $1,159,000 40% Hotel A
    Total operating revenue $1,381,000 14% Hotel A
       
Distributed operating expense $1,061,000 29% Hotel A
Undistributed operating expense $471,000 18% Hotel A
       
Gross operating profit $151,000 4%  Hotel B

Capturing more revenue is only half the equation of a profitable hotel. Although Hotel A reported a comfortably higher ADR than Hotel B from 2004 through most of 2008, it started deep discounting in January 2009. This rapid loss of revenue from a reduction in rate was a more immediate impact on gross operating profit, and likely, the hotel’s cash flow.

Bookmark and Share





9 Comments
Show All

28 August 2009 at 2:06 PM Central Time
In response to: Pricing case study: Deep vs. moderate discounting (part 2)
rhcaldwell commented:
Same comments as to Part 1 I see this approach as statistically questionable.

28 August 2009 at 12:48 PM Central Time
In response to: Pricing case study: Deep vs. moderate discounting (part 2)
phd commented:
I think little of general value can be concluded from a 2-point data set. As others have indicated, there are just too many unknown variables at play to take any sense of trend from the data presented. To discount or not remains a very much individual decision. No doubt data sets can be found to support about any conclusion you want.

28 August 2009 at 12:48 PM Central Time
In response to: Pricing case study: Deep vs. moderate discounting (part 2)
phd commented:
I think little of general value can be concluded from a 2-point data set. As others have indicated, there are just too many unknown variables at play to take any sense of trend from the data presented. To discount or not remains a very much individual decision. No doubt data sets can be found to support about any conclusion you want.

28 August 2009 at 3:06 AM Central Time
In response to: Pricing case study: Deep vs. moderate discounting (part 2)
Michal Chour commented:
It it obviously benefitial for a hotel to drive more revenue, hence profitability through ADR. This case, however, doesn't compare essential atributes of each of the properties whic aren't most likely equal. The brand perception, size of the guest rooms, amenities, quality, setup and light in conference facilities, size and complexity of fitness center, and most importantly, quality of staff and service. In times like these, where there is less business on the market, all weaknesses of properties are much more visible and also, clients aren't exposed to market compression - the desired product is more likely to be available.



Login
Or enter a name to post your comment:

Post Your Comment

(4000 charcters max)

Comments that include links or URLs will be removed to avoid instances of spam. Also, comments that include profanity, lewdness, personal attacks, solicitations or advertising, or other similarly inappropriate or offensive comments or material will be removed from the site. You are fully responsible for the content you post. The opinions expressed in comments do not necessarily reflect the opinions of HotelNewsNow.com or its parent company, Smith Travel Research and its affiliated companies. Please report any violations to our editorial staff.



Follow HotelNewsNow.com on Twitter Subscribe to the HotelNewsNow.com RSS Feed Connect with HotelNewsNow.com on LinkedIn