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How representative is your STR competitive set?

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06 April 2009
By Lana Yoshii
VP, Content Management, STR
HotelNewsNow.com columnist
lana@str.com

HENDERSONVILLE, Tennessee—In this economic climate, hotels are looking everywhere for new demand sources. Customers, likewise, are considering different hotels than they had in the past because of tighter budgets, adjusted travel needs and different pricing strategies of hotels.

Generally speaking, it is not wise to change a Smith Travel Research competitive set during shifts in the market, as value is derived from gauging how the subject hotel indices change over time versus its competitive set. However, given the radical adjustments to the economic conditions of many markets with differing opinions on when the economy will recover, closely looking at that competitive set or looking at the behavior of other competitive sets might be prudent.

Here are a few suggestions on attributes you should consider when examining a STR competitive set. First, determine what attributes are the most important to your customers when selecting a hotel:

• price;
• location (close to where they are visiting, sights, offices);
• need/preference for restaurant or room service in the hotel;
• meeting space;
• complimentary breakfast ;
• hotel loyalty program;
• other full-service amenities/services, such as bellman or concierge;
• or fpecific brand or hotel personal preference.

To verify that that a competitive set is current, operators can ask in-house guests what other hotels they considered for that stay and why. If many of the guests only considered the hotel they stayed in because of hotel or brand loyalty, severe rate discounting becomes less necessary in pricing strategies. 

However, if many lower-scaled hotels are creeping into a hotel guest’s consideration set, a knee-jerk reaction would be to start pricing to compete with those lower-rated hotels. It is a good idea to know your market and how other hotels in your market are pricing themselves. However, what do operators do with that information?

Example

Recently, an upper-upscale chain hotel added another STR competitive set to their monthly STAR reports. Their primary (original) competitive set has one upscale and five upper upscale properties in it. Their secondary (new) competitive set has three upscale and three midscale-without-food-and-beverage hotels.   

In reviewing the two competitive sets, annual average daily rate variances range from US$9 – US$13. However, occupancy variances range from 3 to 10 points. In this market, the upscale and midscale without F&B competitive set reflected consistently higher occupancies, at (as expected) lower rates than the upper upscale-dominated competitive set. 

Competitive set performance (all values in U.S. dollars)
Period* Primary Competitive Set Secondary Competitive Set
  Occ. ADR RevPAR Occ. ADR RevPAR
Feb 09 64% $119 $76 67% $108 $72
Feb 08 69 121 84 74 113 84
Feb 07 72 115 82 78 103 80
Feb 06 69 104 72 77 91 70
Feb 05 68 95 64 77 85 66
*12-months rolling data from March of the previous year through February of the stated year.

Percent variance between primary and secondary comp set
Period* Occupancy Var. ADR Var. RevPAR Var.
Feb 09 4% -9% -5%
Feb 08 8 -7 0
Feb 07 8 -10 -3
Feb 06 11 -12 -3
Feb 05 14 -10 3
*12-months rolling data from March of the previous year through February of the stated year.

Hotel RevPAR index vs. competitive sets
Period* Primary RevPAR Index Secondary RevPAR Index Variance  % Variance
Feb 09 127 133 6 5%
Feb 08 125 126 1 0
Feb 07 130  134 4 3
Feb 06 135 138 3 2
Feb 05 141 137 -4 -3
*12-months rolling data from March of the previous year through February of the stated year.

All data provided by STR.

Time will tell if this upper-upscale hotel will start looking at the second competitive set and conclude that reducing its rate will create demand by stealing business from upscale and midscale properties or if it will manage its rates at distinct premium over the lower-scale hotels.

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1 Comments
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08 April 2009 at 1:47 PM Central Time
In response to: How representative is your STR competitive set?
commented:
Great article. I was considering changing one of my competitors on the STAR Report and this article just convinced me to leave it as is until the market comes back around.



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