One indicator we watch to judge the health of the industry and the speed of a recovery is the average-daily-rate premium luxury hotels command over upper-upscale hotels.
Traditionally, there is a clear bifurcation between hotels in different scales—partially based on amenities, partially based on service, partially, of course, based on price. This price difference is not static and fluctuates with the macroeconomic conditions. As luxury hotels posted higher occupancies during the mid 2000s, we saw an increase in their rate premium above the upper-upscale hotel ADR. During the downturn, when demand decreased, luxury hotels discounted their rooms, oftentimes at a much faster pace (speaking about dollars, not percentages) than upper-upscale hotels, thereby decreasing the ADR premium.